Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035254 0.040809 0.046965 0.054296 0.062793 0.072338 0.083880
2026-01-18 0.026965 0.034360 0.043380 0.055203 0.070314 0.089016 0.113973
2026-01-25 0.022254 0.030514 0.041353 0.056646 0.077719 0.105823 0.146292
2026-02-01 0.018071 0.026301 0.037764 0.054939 0.080109 0.115793 0.170501
2026-02-08 0.015394 0.023585 0.035595 0.054545 0.083836 0.127625 0.198507
2026-02-15 0.013304 0.021332 0.033651 0.054008 0.086999 0.138707 0.226577
2026-02-22 0.011941 0.019957 0.032779 0.054877 0.092276 0.153487 0.262243
2026-03-01 0.010602 0.018407 0.031374 0.054605 0.095521 0.165211 0.294235
2026-03-08 0.009281 0.016691 0.029444 0.053127 0.096411 0.172919 0.320095
2026-03-15 0.008157 0.015162 0.027622 0.051555 0.096846 0.179740 0.345062
2026-03-22 0.007542 0.014468 0.027185 0.052416 0.101787 0.195233 0.388195
2026-03-29 0.006929 0.013697 0.026502 0.052701 0.105621 0.209031 0.429756
2026-04-05 0.006350 0.012930 0.025759 0.052819 0.109235 0.223037 0.474100
2026-04-12 0.005901 0.012371 0.025354 0.053569 0.114237 0.240475 0.528124
2026-04-19 0.005562 0.011991 0.025260 0.054941 0.120701 0.261718 0.593298
2026-04-26 0.004982 0.011027 0.023837 0.053281 0.120377 0.268401 0.626915
2026-05-03 0.004578 0.010395 0.023044 0.052898 0.122827 0.281440 0.676900
2026-05-10 0.004206 0.009790 0.022238 0.052377 0.124878 0.293795 0.726939
2026-05-17 0.003972 0.009470 0.022031 0.053219 0.130230 0.314453 0.800092
2026-05-24 0.003683 0.008989 0.021396 0.052956 0.132864 0.328937 0.859757
2026-05-31 0.003350 0.008359 0.020338 0.051523 0.132409 0.335778 0.900624
2026-06-07 0.003045 0.007763 0.019295 0.049999 0.131528 0.341428 0.939129
2026-06-14 0.002898 0.007552 0.019176 0.050834 0.136904 0.363859 1.026585